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Hari Krishnan on Commodity Tail Hedging, Weather Volatility, And “Disaster” VIX Trades

Forward Guidance

NOTE

Diverse Markets and Trading Strategies

The speaker works in a wide range of markets, such as oil, natural gas, metals, and grains, each with its distinct characteristics and trading strategies. In the grains market, considerations like seasonality and weather uncertainty are crucial, while the metals market, particularly copper, is less volatile due to recycling and supply dynamics. The speaker analyzes various option strategies in different market regimes and identifies structural imbalances and demand to inform trading decisions. Additionally, the speaker draws an intriguing analogy between trading VIX futures and natural gas.

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