Industrial Policy and Artificial Intelligence

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Some people are worried about the potential risk of the United States, various Western liberal democracies falling behind other nations like notably China, but also people bring Russia into the conversation once in a while.
These authoritarian nations that might use artificial intelligence for bad intents, and we want to, a lot of people are very concerned that if we don't stay ahead, that will lead to a world where things look a lot more like authoritarian China and less like liberal United States.
One of the policy prescriptions, of course, that a lot of people are mulling and considering and we're seeing a manifestation of this in the CHIPs Act is industrial policy, trying to use the centralized authority and resources of the United States government to try and bootstrap this process and ensure that we continue to have a lead in artificial intelligence.
However, the problem with this is that this stuff, as we've been learning, like every other day, is changing all the time. GPT4 came out yesterday, right? A couple months before that, we saw CHAT GBT, which on its own was a huge splash. Months before that, we saw stable diffusion, Dolly, all these other innovations.
This is just changing constantly and the types of technologies involved in these conversations are wildly changing.
And so if I think this is a situation in which it's very hard to see industrial policy working, especially if you get into the nitty gritty of industrial.

How will GPT4 change the world? How will US-China 'racing dynamics' play out and what are the implications for AI safety? Nathan Labenz was invited to record a special "emergency" episode of ChinaTalk podcast this week to discuss the implications GPT4 will have for policy, economics, and society. Thanks to Jordan Schneider of ChinaTalk, and fellow "AI justice league" guests Zvi Mowshowitz of 'Don't Worry About the Vase' and Matthew Mittelsteadt of Mercatus.

We're hiring across the board at Turpentine and for Erik's personal team on other projects he's incubating. He's hiring a Chief of Staff, EA, Head of Special Projects, Investment Associate, and more. For a list of JDs, check out: eriktorenberg.com.

(0:00) Intro

(2:09) GPT-4 emergency podcast

(9:26) GPT-4 use cases

(22:51) What GPT-4 can and can’t do

(35:50) AI safety

(45:38) OpenAI v. Anthropic

(48:54) Governments’ role in AI

(55:50) AI will improve physical health and healthcare the most

(59:19) Facebook’s LLaMA model

(01:05:55) VR/AR

(01:08:59) Concerns with GPT4

(01:15:26) GPT-5 and GPT-6

(01:18:45) Optimism in the AI revolution

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@labenz (Nathan)

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