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Episode 33: Probability (and Tom's new book)

The Studies Show

INSIGHT

Statistical Significance vs. Bayesian Approach

  • Statistical significance assesses the likelihood of observed results assuming no real effect exists.
  • This contrasts with the Bayesian approach, which infers characteristics of the whole from a smaller sample.
  • Statistical significance and p-values cannot provide information about the whole.
  • Statistical significance works by assuming the null hypothesis is true, then calculating the chances of obtaining the observed data, which is distinct from Bayesian inference.
  • Bernoulli's ball experiment involves drawing balls from an urn to illustrate probability, a common example in statistics.
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