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Stocks Will Continue To Crush Bonds In 2024 | Joseph Wang
On The Margin
Understanding Complexities of Labor Market Data
Labor market data, specifically non-farm payrolls, present a complex picture due to various factors such as the inclusion of part-time jobs, the rise of the gig economy like Uber, and potential issues in accurately accounting for the impact of immigration. The two main surveys, establishment and household, show differing job growth and unemployment rates, possibly influenced by the influx of millions of people entering the labor force. Despite methodological challenges, the increase in the labor force is expected to raise both job growth and unemployment rates, contributing to the overall complexity and accuracy of the data.
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