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The Misperception of Exponential Projections and the Impact on Society
The human mind is terrible at exponential projections. Despite technological advancements, we often project the future based on our current world. However, in the next decade, we will witness a century's worth of progress. This rapid change will lead to unexpected and strange developments. For example, the transition from assigning homework essays to relying on AI for tasks like tax preparation is a one-way door that affects entire industries like accounting. As an optimist, I have concerns about the challenges posed by AI, AGI, and ASI.