
Global Rates: Hawkish cuts and dovish holds
At Any Rate
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Fed's QT and Liquidity Management
- The Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening (QT) may end sooner than anticipated, possibly by the end of Q1 2025, due to banks' preference for reserves over other liquidity sources.
- The Fed's standing repo facility, designed to supply reserves, is less effective than the Bank of England's due to stigma, operational limitations (impact on dealers' balance sheets), and timing issues.
- Recent enhancements to the facility, like additional morning operations, aim to address short-term volatility in repo rates but don't solve the underlying issues hindering QT.
- To extend QT, the Fed needs to make the standing repo facility more appealing by reducing stigma and improving operational efficiency, similar to the Bank of England's approach.
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