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“US exceptionalism all over again”

Goldman Sachs The Markets

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US Economic Parallels to the 1980s

  • The US's current economic policies, including loose fiscal policy, tight monetary policy, and trade frictions, mirror those of the 1980s.
  • This combination of policies could lead to a stronger dollar, attracting investment and potentially fostering domestic job growth.
  • Similar to the 1980s, this could import disinflation, boosting industrial revival.
  • While the long-term effects are uncertain, these policies may help the current administration achieve its short-term objectives.
  • The market opportunity lies with the dollar and the S&P, while the rates market appears balanced and less opportunistic.
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