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Macro & Volatility™ #3: 4 cuts, 3 cuts, 2 cuts, NONE!

Macro & Volatility™

NOTE

Interpreting Interest Rate Movements and Stock Performance

Understanding the impact of interest rate movements on the economy is crucial. A rise in interest rates driven by inflation could lead to a 'stackflationary' scenario with falling growth and rising inflation, potentially leading to an increase in the VIX. However, a more favorable scenario is a rise in interest rates due to a robust economy, leading to higher stock prices and a strong economy. This rise would not significantly impact certain stocks like chip stocks but could adversely affect rate-sensitive stocks like utilities, which historically have moved with a higher volatility than the S&P 500.

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