Understanding the Implications of Shutting Down Drug Cartels

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Shutting down drug cartels in Mexico, with a small minority of people working in the industry, may not lead to mass unemployment or economic shock. However, the immediate consequence could be a political crisis where powerful political parties and individuals lose influence. There is uncertainty about the alternatives that these elites might seek, such as Chinese or US backing. Shutting down cartels could destabilize the weak and dysfunctional Mexican state rather than strengthen it.

In this episode of 'Live Players, Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg discuss the intricate dynamics of Mexican drug cartels and their impact on both Mexico's political and economic landscape. The discussion delves deep into how drug revenues sustain elites, non-state actors, and insurgencies worldwide — with notable examples from the Taliban to Chechen rebels. They also discuss the potential threats posed by Mexico's porous border to U.S. national security, the global demand for drugs, the implications of drug legalization in first world countries, and the potential geopolitical shifts involving China and the U.S.

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LINKS:

Samo’s Bismarck Brief: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/

“Mexico’s Drug Cartels Are Not Competitors to the State” https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p/mexicos-drug-cartels-are-not-competitors

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