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Tyler Cowen - The Great Reset
Dwarkesh Podcast
War's Inevitable Cycle
While the likelihood of war in any given year may seem low, the continuous passage of time increases the chances of conflict. The idea that civilization can persist unscathed by war is misleading, and the argument that violence is declining does not guarantee future peace. Historical patterns suggest that major wars could intensify rather than diminish, with the specter of potential cataclysms like World War Three looming. The decreasing cost of nuclear weapons could facilitate escalation, challenging the belief that a third global conflict is improbable. This perspective shifts the understanding of current peace into a realm of cautious apprehension about future warfare.
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