In financial markets, the perception of bear markets varies significantly between equities and cryptocurrencies, largely due to demographic factors. A 50% decline in equities is seen as catastrophic, particularly for those nearing retirement, while in crypto, such declines are often normal and less distressing. In crypto, an asset drop of 20% might be viewed as just a routine fluctuation, reflecting the market's volatility and the younger investor base's resilience. The aging equity investor demographic, often in or approaching retirement, significantly impacts the sensitivity of US policymakers to stock market changes, indicating a vested interest in maintaining market stability for this group.
In this episode, Ryan is joined by Louis-Vincent Gave, a macro analyst with 7 bold investment ideas to help you navigate the chaos. From avoiding the bond market’s pitfalls to rethinking the 60/40 strategy and why Asia is the future, Louis' ideas are thought-provoking and actionable. Whether you’re worried about a recession or curious about crypto, these ideas will give you new insights into where to put your money. This and all Bankless content is never financial advice.
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------ TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro 4:43 Louis Intro 5:05 Louis Book & Theme 6:30 Current Decade Uncertain? 9:49 Crisis in Asia - 3 Anomalies 15:21 Bear Market: Crypto vs. Equity 23:05 Bond Investors Losing Money 26:25 Who’s Buying Bonds? 29:16 Pension Funds & Math 33:35 Current Safe Investments? 40:29 Current Ideal Portfolio 50:22 Equity U.S. vs. Others 54:00 Ryan’s Countertakes 55:10 Louis on U.S. Property Rights 57:25 Louis on U.S. Tech 1:00:56 U.S. vs. China 1:04:34 Non-U.S. Equity 1:06:32 Value Over Growth 1:11:04 What’s Warren Waiting For? 1:13:06 Home Bias & Base Case 1:18:46 Dollar Devaluing 1:24:18 Louis on Crypto 1:27:09 Bitcoin vs. Gold 1:28:20 Louis’s Dad & Crypto 1:29:30 Closing & Disclosures
------ RESOURCES
Louis https://x.com/gave_vincent https://web.gavekal.com/ https://evergreengavekal.com/
------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures