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House Speaker Limbo & Biden Visits Israel | 10.18.23

Morning Wire

Poland's Election and Its Impact on Government Formation and EU Relations

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  • Poland's president, Andre Duda, has 30 days from the election to name someone to put a government together.
  • The president typically gives a coalition with the most seats the first chance at building a government.
  • Law and justice could potentially cut a deal with some of the smaller coalitions to stay in power, but that's unlikely.
  • Most likely, law and justice will get a chance, fail, and then Duda will move on to Tusk coalition.
  • Tusk will have to keep his coalition together if he is able to make a government, which could be a rocky prime ministership for him.
  • Poland's election outcome will have an impact on the rest of Europe.
  • Germany was hoping for a change in Polish leadership.
  • Law and justice ran on anti-German sentiment.
  • The new coalition in Poland is more liberal and EU friendly.
  • Poland's strict immigration policy is unlikely to change under Tusk's leadership.
  • Despite other disagreements, there is broad agreement in Poland against heavy immigration.
  • Poland currently has one of the lowest crime rates in Europe.

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