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#808 - Dr David Kipping - Black Holes, Alien Civilisations & How The World Ends
Modern Wisdom
Embrace Uncertainty for Informed Decisions
Unpredictability is a fundamental characteristic in forecasting, making accurate predictions nearly impossible. Instead of seeking precise outcomes, one should rely on statistical simulations to understand potential distributions of results. This approach allows for educated betting on future developments, much like gambling in a casino. The solar system itself exemplifies this unpredictability, with studies indicating that in a billion years, Mercury could be ejected and Earth might swap positions with Venus, illustrating the inherent instability over long time scales.
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