
Trump, Tariffs & The Dollar’s Fate: Lyn Alden’s Macro Predictions for 2025
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Globalization Trade-offs
- Globalization's primary benefit was disinflation through efficient supply chains.
- However, it negatively impacted US wages and manufacturing.
- Reversing globalization could boost these sectors but might increase inflation.
- Fixing US manufacturing likely requires addressing high US healthcare costs, which burden employers more than in other developed countries.
- Without fundamental changes, reshoring efforts may be costly and ineffective.
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