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Russell Napier On The Rise And Fall Of The Age Of Debt And China’s Choice Between Deflation and Devaluation

Forward Guidance

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Evolution of the Global Monetary System

The global monetary system evolved from the collapse of the Bretton Woods agreement to various attempts at fixing it through systems like the Smithsonian and the Plaza and Louvre Accords. In 1994, the Chinese Communist Party made a significant decision regarding its exchange rate, impacting the global monetary system. This decision led to Asian countries intervening to hold on to their currencies and resulted in China and other Asian countries accumulating treasuries, exporting deflation, over-investing, and depressing global inflation. The Fed and other developed world central bankers reacted to these actions rather than driving the global monetary system themselves.

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