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Importance of Skepticism and Contingency Planning in Predictions
It's crucial to acknowledge the possibility of being wrong in our predictions and not get too invested in our beliefs about the future. Realizing that the future is a mental creation helps to emphasize the need for skepticism in our predictions. Scientific approach involves explicitly attempting to falsify predictions, which is a valuable practice. It's important to consider both optimistic and pessimistic conclusions about the future and to take contingency planning seriously, as it is a skill provided by evolution.