Tyler Cowen - the #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans
Dwarkesh Podcast
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Human Bottlenecks in a Doubling Workforce: Economic Insights
In this chapter, a discussion unfolds about the hypothetical impact of a doubling global population on various factors like energy usage and economic output. They argue that simplistic models like the Romer and Chad Jones models may not accurately predict the outcomes, highlighting historical examples like Renaissance Florence to illustrate that a small population can still produce significant value. Emphasizing the role of humans as critical bottlenecks in this equation, they suggest that changes in societal structure may lead to opposition from those resistant to transformation, leading to complex conflicts in the future.
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