Curious Minds at Work cover image

CM 261: Andrew McAfee on the Geek Way

Curious Minds at Work

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Understanding Human Overconfidence

Human beings are inherently overconfident, a cognitive bias that is deeply rooted and hard to eliminate. Even when trained to be less overconfident, people become confident about not being overconfident anymore. This overconfidence is not present in all aspects of life; individuals can be cautious in certain situations. The question arises, why are humans so consistently overconfident? This cognitive bias is pervasive and even acknowledged by renowned psychologist Danny Kahneman, indicating the complexity and depth of the issue.

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