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The World in 2024 with Niall Ferguson: Crisis, Conflict and Consequences, Part One
Intelligence Squared
Exploiting Iran's Weakness and Isolation
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Iran's weakness is highlighted due to reliance on cheating sanctions with China, deployment of security forces outside Iran, and lack of significant retaliation after Suleimani's assassination. The speaker criticizes the Biden administration's move to relax pressure and resuscitate the Iran nuclear deal, emphasizing the regime's unpopularity among ordinary Iranians. The speaker expresses optimism that Iran's weakness can be exploited over a 10-year horizon, predicting increased isolation and highlighting the regime's unpopularity. Furthermore, the speaker believes that Israel is in a stronger position post-Iranian attack, acknowledging Iran's influence across the region. The speaker suggests a relatively bullish outlook for the region's future, especially in conversations with Gulf nations where the emphasis is less on the Palestinian state and more on other regional dynamics.
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