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Unthought Known Path of Rate Cuts with Luke Gromen

RiskReversal Pod

NOTE

Let the Unfit Fall

The treasury market faces potential dysfunction, with a possibility of elevating repo rates and allowing failing banks to collapse. Management of these banks would be dismissed, leading to equity losses and severe impacts on New York's real estate market. The financial strategy amid this chaos would favor short-term bonds, sovereign debt, and assets like the dollar and gold, indicating a need for caution and preparedness. Politically, significant austerity measures on influential sectors, like Wall Street and defense, seem unlikely, and past experiences suggest these sectors have avoided substantial financial pain. A genuine commitment to austerity is a critical factor for future economic strategies.

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