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Balls & Bowls: The Relationsip between a Systems Resilience and its Behavioral Variability
A resilient state is akin to a ball in a deep cup, where if the ball is knocked, it quickly rolls back to the bottom. In contrast, a less resilient state is like a ball on a flat plate, where if the ball is knocked, it rolls back slowly. As a result, a system with lower resilience will exhibit more variability compared to a highly resilient system. Leading up to critical transitions, a system that used to be highly resilient gradually becomes less so, resulting in increased variability.