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Measuring everything that matters (with Doug Hubbard)
Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
Calibrating Estimates and Uncertainty
Starting wide and gradually narrowing down estimates helps in calibrating better. It is more effective to begin with a broad range where one is relatively certain and then gradually refine the estimate by trimming off extreme ends. This approach aids in representing uncertainty accurately and identifying areas where uncertainty exists, leading to more precise estimations.
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