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Debating the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War
Net Assessment
Ceasefire and External Commitment in Ukrainian Conflict
The speaker believes that a ceasefire without external commitment would not be a feasible option as it would put Ukrainians at a disadvantage and lead to a quick resumption of fighting by the Russians. They argue that a ceasefire backed by external involvement is essential to deter Russian aggression. Without guarantees of external support, the conflict is likely to persist, with Ukrainians having no reason to stop fighting and Russians having no reason to uphold a ceasefire that could result in Ukraine joining NATO.
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