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Considering consequences alongside probabilities in investing
When evaluating investment strategies, it is crucial to assess the risk profile, which varies depending on an individual's perspective. Diversification across multiple asset classes globally can be beneficial for capital preservation. Benchmarks can be useful, but the primary focus should always be on meeting financial goals. It's important for investors to not only think about potential upside and associated probabilities but also to consider the consequences of being wrong. This is especially relevant for investors running concentrated funds, where the focus should be on understanding the risks beyond just the returns.