The Rest Is Money cover image

57. How to fix UK growth, why economists fail, and restructuring our economic institutions - Andy Haldane

The Rest Is Money

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Analysis of Tax Cuts and Economic Growth

Tax cuts are often believed to pay for themselves through increased economic activity, but many economists disagree with this notion. While cutting taxes can be beneficial for stimulating growth and avoiding stagnant policies, expecting tax cuts to generate more revenue is unrealistic. The Laffer curve theory suggests that cutting taxes can sometimes boost economic activity and hence tax revenue, especially when tax rates are exceptionally high. History shows cases like the UK in the 70s and 80s where high tax rates were reduced, and this led to increased tax revenues. However, the expectation that tax cuts will consistently result in higher revenues is not supported by global trends. Hence, the effectiveness of tax cuts in enhancing economic growth and generating more revenue is contingent on various factors such as current tax rates and economic conditions.

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