short run predictions of the major impacts of AI

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I think we genuinely don't know how many people will use it. It's a question of human discipline and conscientiousness. And that is a very major impact. I think in the short to medium run, a lot of routine back office work will in essence be done by GPT models one way or another.

Economist Tyler Cowen of George Mason University talks with EconTalk's Russ Roberts about the benefits and dangers of artificial intelligence. Cowen argues that the worriers--those who think that artificial intelligence will destroy mankind--need to make a more convincing case for their concerns. He also believes that the worriers are too willing to reduce freedom and empower the state in the name of reducing a risk that is far from certain. Along the way, Cowen and Roberts discuss how AI might change various parts of the economy and the job market.