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SI318: How Trend Following Changes with Interest Rates ft. Katy Kaminski

Top Traders Unplugged

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Trends Evolve: Adapt to Shifting Markets

The landscape of the investment industry, particularly in managed futures through CTAs, has evolved significantly over the years. Initially, CTAs focused on pure trend strategies with faster execution. Over time, particularly since 2000, there has been a notable shift towards incorporating non-trend strategies such as value and carry, which gained prominence post-2008. This transition indicates that the SG trend index has not remained static, but rather reflects a dynamic group of managers responding to market themes and conditions. In recent cycles, especially amidst a higher interest rate environment, pure momentum strategies have regained traction, suggesting another potential shift back to faster trend-following approaches. Continuous analysis of these trends is vital, implying the need for regular updates to studies surrounding CTAs to capture the latest market behaviors and strategy adaptations.

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