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Police Data is a Good Predictor of Police Behavior
Police data are not a perfect measure of underlying behavior, says Sarah Wright. A combination of police officers, implicit bias and sometimes outright raceism generates a set of arrests that don't mean the same thing for the same people. Police data cannot be simply taken to be an unbiased account of criminal behavior as observed by and reported to the police. But they might be potentially, if police are more likely to arrest young black men, then itis going to look like young black men are riskier just because of police decision making.