Organizations often overlook the necessity of incorporating potential advancements in AI into their strategic planning, despite long-term planning horizons. There's a significant divide in the AI community regarding the future trajectory of AI capabilities, particularly in relation to artificial general intelligence (AGI). While some believe that continued progress toward AGI is imminent, others feel that current models may have reached their peak. This dichotomy highlights a blind spot in planning for AI's uncertain future, as most organizations are quick to prepare for various alternative scenarios in other domains, yet neglect to do so in the context of AI advancements.
A reading and discussion inspired by https://www.oneusefulthing.org/p/confronting-impossible-futures
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