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Covid: The evidence for natural origin (Robert Wright & Peter Miller)
The Wright Show
Probability of Virus Showing Up in Wuhan
The likelihood of a virus appearing in Wuhan is estimated to be between 1% and 10%, suggesting it is not extremely improbable. However, the chance that it would emerge specifically from a wet market as a natural pandemic is considered very low, approximately one in 10,000, indicating a substantial difference between general occurrence in the region and a specific scenario associated with natural pandemics.
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