Globalization vs. Innovation
"Live Players" with Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg
Exploring the Possibility of a Limited World War III
A potential World War III may unfold without nuclear weapons, representing a shift from traditional expectations of total warfare. Instead, it could manifest as regional conflicts primarily involving the US and China, characterized by drone and missile warfare rather than ground invasions. In this scenario, there might be strategic engagements where one side occupies territories like the Philippines, while both powers engage in limited retaliatory attacks without escalating to full-blown war. The challenge of launching successful invasions of either mainland China or the United States reduces the likelihood of regime change, resulting in an impasse rather than total war. While such a limited conflict could still lead to significant casualties, it represents a more likely outcome than the anticipated nuclear scenario. Despite a still-present risk of catastrophic nuclear conflict arising from miscalculations during high tensions, the lack of plausible existential threats diminishes the rationale for such devastating warfare.
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