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Raoul Pal: The Journey Man cover image

Liquidity is Coming...! (MOAR COWBELL)

Raoul Pal: The Journey Man

NOTE

Differentiating Fed Balance Sheet and Treasury Issuance Implications

Analyzing the Federal Reserve balance sheet and Treasury issuance reveals the significance of monitoring bill issuance and short-dated coupons. Banks prefer short-term debt like treasury bills, leading to potential government debt purchases that amount to direct monetization. In this context, the Treasury assumes the monetization role instead of the Federal Reserve. Direct monetization by the Fed can occur through liquidity expansion, possibly driven by a change in reverse repo operations. The Treasury general account emerges as a crucial factor to monitor for potential developments.

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