A week out from Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are neck and neck in the critical battleground state. Harris held a moderate polling lead over Trump in Michigan after she replaced President Joe Biden on the Democratic ticket, but FiveThirtyEight’s polling average now has her leading by just 0.4 points. Harris’s struggles are due in part to declining support among Arab American voters in Michigan, who have been critical of the Biden administration’s handling of the war in Gaza.

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