Businesses showing signs of improvement, such as establishing backlogs or expanding capacity, indicate growth and should be the focus for investment considerations, rather than mere speculation on stock prices. Historical instances, such as the Cuban Missile Crisis, demonstrate that market reactions can be irrational; the stock market's minimal drop during a time of potential nuclear war contrasted sharply with a significant fall later, triggered by political actions, illustrating that market sentiment can be unpredictable and not necessarily aligned with pressing global events.

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