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Calm Amidst Rates: Hope for a Soft Landing
The Federal Reserve typically adjusts interest rates by 25 basis points, with 50 basis point moves occurring during significant events like early 2001, 2007, and March 2020. Current market conditions suggest a relatively stable environment, indicative of a potential soft landing for the economy. The rapid increase in rates may play a role in current dynamics, but with inflation decreasing, economic growth persisting, and unemployment still near full employment levels, the overall outlook appears positive. The necessity for timely evaluation is underscored; identifying a hard landing much further down the line may invalidate earlier assessments of stability.