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Analysis of Updated Technology Standards for Carbon Emission Reduction in Transportation Sector
Updated technology standards for model years 2027 through 2032 are predicted to prevent more than 7 billion tons of carbon pollution, significantly exceeding the total carbon emissions from transportation in 2021. Transportation, the top contributor of greenhouse gas emissions in the U.S., could witness nearly a 50% reduction in projected emission levels for passenger cars alone with the new standards. The Biden administration's latest climate regulation, while ambitious, is more moderate than the initial proposal. Automakers now have until 2030 to enhance their electric vehicle sales, targeting 56% of new passenger vehicles and light trucks to be electric by 2032, a decrease from the prior aim of 67%. This adjustment is a compromise to address concerns from auto unions regarding the rapid EV transition, especially during an influential election year. The slowdown in EV sales and inadequacy of public charging infrastructure in the U.S. add complexity to the shift towards electric vehicles, impacting consumer choices and the effectiveness of incentives like tax credits for EV purchases.