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Debt, Demographics & Deflation Ahead | Raoul Pal

The Macro Trading Floor

NOTE

The Disinflationary Nominal Growth Trend

The disinflationary nominal growth trend ahead of us, I think it's basically undeniable when you look at for looking indicators. It's going to take a while longer probably for inflation to follow through but ultimately we will get that disinflationly growth trend. The second is real growth. So unfortunately, as my friend Mr. Blond macro says, there is no real GDP future that one can trade but you need to go for proxies. We are expecting a real growth slowdown, we are expecting an inflation slowdown. It's all about the magnitude and the timing of this lowdown.

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