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Analysis of Third Party Threats to Biden's Reelection
Kennedy's support base appears to consist of disaffected voters with soft support, potentially including older Democrats nostalgic for the Kennedy brand and third party voters who are less engaged in politics. These third party voters are typically uncommitted to major parties, have lower turnout rates, and may be attracted to Kennedy due to his perceived uniqueness compared to the main party nominees. Kennedy's polling numbers are nearing the threshold for participation in presidential debates, which could introduce a new dynamic to the electoral process. The Democratic Party's plan to challenge ballot access for third party candidates, especially in swing states, signals an aggressive bid to maintain leverage in the election. This strategy may pose risks of backlash, potentially backfiring on the Democratic Party if perceived as anti-democratic or limiting voter choice.