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1: Turning Chaos to Your Advantage: Antifragile by Nassim Taleb

Made You Think

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Large Risks and Fragility: The Turkey Problem and Black Swan Events

This story illustrates the concept of the turkey problem, where a turkey is fed by a butcher every day, until the day before Thanksgiving when it is unexpectedly slaughtered. The turkey's belief in the butcher's love for it is shattered, while the butcher is not surprised. This is an example of a black swan event, where a surprising and unforeseen event occurs. This concept is relevant to the idea of fragility and the importance of mitigating such risks. It is a thought-provoking story that makes us reflect on similar situations in our own lives.

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