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Globalization vs. Innovation
"Live Players" with Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg
Empires Rise and Fall: The Cycle of Centralization and Decentralization
Future world history is expected to alternate between extreme global centralization and subsequent phases of decentralization, often culminating in the collapse of empires. Historical examples, such as the collapse of the Roman Empire, illustrate that such collapses do not lead to reunification but instead give rise to new political entities with expansive ambitions, such as the Spanish and British Empires. Imperial overreach is a common characteristic of empire building, driven by the tendency to expand beyond sustainable limits, exacerbated by entropic forces that undermine essential institutions. This pattern suggests a trajectory toward a potential global tyranny, which may emerge and endure, followed by inevitable fragmentation. Additionally, large entities like China exhibit characteristics of self-sufficiency and isolation from external threats, similar to the United States, highlighting a possible future where powerful regions operate independently amidst global shifts.
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