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E68: Cap Rate Craziness

Drunk Real Estate

NOTE

The Influence of COVID-19 on Investment Trends and Cap Rates

COVID-19 prompted significant government intervention, disrupting traditional rent collection and shifting investor behaviors dramatically. Investors flocked to previously low-performing yet resilient assets, driving demand regardless of borrowing costs. The resulting shifts in capital allocation highlighted the dominance of trends over financing costs in influencing cap rates. Notably, a 100 to 200 basis point variance can lead to considerable asset value fluctuations, emphasizing the gravity of these investor movements. The unprecedented activity among private equity firms, which became key players alongside REITs, played a crucial role in this transition, especially within the storage sector. These private equity investors, often deploying billions, not only matched REIT investments but sometimes exceeded them in scale, fundamentally altering traditional asset valuation metrics. Consequently, the premium being paid for storage properties compared to apartments signaled a dramatic shift in investor preferences shaped by the pandemic's conditions, despite similar influence from interest rates.

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