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The Uncertainty of Technological Predictions and the Need for Preparation
A renowned scientist predicted a return trip to the moon in eight million years, causing people to mock his bold claims. However, it is important to remember that predicting technology is difficult, as it can come sooner or later than expected. In the face of an uncertain future, we must prepare for both short-term and long-term scenarios. Currently, the incentives do not promote wisdom and caution, leading to an arms race-like situation. We should not confuse our moral horizons with other countries involved in technological advancements.