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MacroVoices #448 Luke Gromen: Why the Gold Recycling Trade is Accelerating

Macro Voices

NOTE

Shift to Short-Term Financing Increases Market Volatility

Foreign financing of the U.S. is shifting from long-term treasuries to short-term instruments, predominantly driven by investors seeking immediate returns rather than long-term stability. This transition leads to greater volatility in the treasury market, as hedge funds prefer T-bills over long-term bonds due to their lower risk profile. The reliance on fickle creditors for short durations exacerbates market fluctuations and contributes to secular inflationary pressures, as the government's spending is not as effectively offset when financing occurs over shorter periods.

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