#171 Naval Ravikant: The Angel Philosopher (2017)
The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish
Complexity Theory, Cryptography, and the Limits of Knowledge
The speaker studied complexity theory in their youth and has found it to be helpful in understanding the limits of knowledge and prediction capability/nThe speaker believes that we are fundamentally ignorant and bad at predicting the future/nRather than trying to predict what will work, the speaker focuses on eliminating what won't work/nSuccess is seen as avoiding mistakes rather than making perfectly correct judgments/nThe speaker relies on mental models to assess trustworthiness and evaluate the odds and margin of safety
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