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Volatility in the Carbon Markets
The EUA market experienced a significant drop of about 40% over the past year, while the voluntary market showed a different trend due to its voluntary nature. Demand in the voluntary market depends on individual preferences of companies not bound by regulatory compliance. The market witnessed a 3 to 400% increase leading up to the invasion in Ukraine, followed by a rapid drop post-invasion, settling at around a dollar by the year-end. The market has been characterized by inventory build-ups, where more tons are issued from projects than are retired, a pattern seen in the EUETS prior to reforms introducing backloading and the MSR, which significantly reduced inventory levels.