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Hari Krishnan on Commodity Tail Hedging, Weather Volatility, And “Disaster” VIX Trades
Forward Guidance
Impact of Weather Volatility on Crop Yields and Commodity Prices
Weather volatility is increasing, impacting the Amazon rainforest and crop yields. Even if temperatures stay the same, increased volatility is detrimental for crops due to unexpected weather events. High crop yields are maintained through intensive use of fertilizers, which is energy intensive. This interconnectedness of commodities leads to spikes in one area causing spikes in other areas, making them more interconnected than previously thought.
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