Throughout history, the cycle leading to external conflicts and wars has been preceded by common economic factors such as debt bubbles, income inequality, wealth gaps, and increased printing of money. This cycle has repeated itself six times in the last 500 years with different motivations for conflict. The relationship between these economic indicators and the desire for conflict is evident. In times of economic stress, nations may look for external enemies to unify fractured societies and stimulate the economy through war. The current situation, including support for Ukraine against Russia and the prospect of Ukraine joining NATO, is seen as a potential escalation of this cycle. It is emphasized that awareness and proactive measures are necessary to avoid falling into this historical pattern of escalating global conflicts.