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FYI - For Your Innovation cover image

AI Certainty Clashes With Economic Uncertainty with Cathie Wood

FYI - For Your Innovation

NOTE

Fed's Ignoring Variable Impacts on Inflation and Bankruptcies

The Fed seems to be ignoring variable impacts on inflation and bankruptcies. Despite the increasing evidence of a deflationary environment and reports of businesses cutting prices, the Fed continues to focus on lagging indicators. This narrow focus is problematic as bankruptcies are rising, primarily due to businesses taking out floating rate loans that they can no longer afford. The rapid increase in interest rates is leading to strategic defaults in commercial real estate and causing even prime properties to become half-empty. This trend is not limited to New York City, but is likely to affect other big cities as well as regional banks. The private equity world, in particular, is exposed to $3 trillion in adjustable rate unhedged loans, highlighting the potential risks of the Fed's interest rate increases.

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