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Adam Robinson: Cracking the System and Simplifying Life’s Complexities

Smarter Not Harder

NOTE

Anticipating the Anticipation of Others

Professional traders make bets on the world based on their understanding of it, but trends change when one group begins to form a different opinion./nThe speaker's sophisticated analytic framework anticipates the anticipation of others by assessing when two groups of traders disagree about the world./nWhenever bond traders and stock traders disagree about the world, the bond traders are right 95% of the time and early in their predictions.

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