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Adam Robinson: Cracking the System and Simplifying Life’s Complexities

Smarter Not Harder

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Anticipating the Anticipation of Others

Professional traders make bets on the world based on their understanding of it, but trends change when one group begins to form a different opinion./nThe speaker's sophisticated analytic framework anticipates the anticipation of others by assessing when two groups of traders disagree about the world./nWhenever bond traders and stock traders disagree about the world, the bond traders are right 95% of the time and early in their predictions.

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