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“Accident Brewing” | Neil Dutta on Rising Slowdown Risks And Why He Thinks The Fed Will Cut Sooner Rather Than Later
Forward Guidance
Inflation Indicator and Rate Cut Assessment
The core PC inflation is moderate, aligning with an increase in the unemployment rate, signaling a need for a rate cut. Inflation is considered a lagging indicator and expected to decrease further due to the slowdown in service sector inflation. The Federal Reserve's cautious approach towards rate cuts might cause unnecessary risks in the capital markets. Data supports the need for rate cuts, emphasizing the importance of being proactive and responsive to the evolving economic trends.
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